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Emerging issues in the trucking industry, then and now

Every year, ATRI names the concerns ranked just below its top 10: the ones that might break through next. In 2022 there were three. Four years later, one is a top-five cost, one became a federal pilot program, and one turned into an enforcement crackdown.

The 2022 watch list in numbers

0.1Points that kept insurance cost out of the 2022 top 10
No. 4Insurance cost's rank in ATRI's 2026 list
18.6%Rise in liability premium cost per mile, 2021 to 2024
9,973Training locations removed from FMCSA's registry
Sources: ATRI, Critical Issues in the Trucking Industry 2022 and 2026, and ATRI's May 2026 insurance research; FMCSA Training Provider Registry, checked October 20, 2026.

The emerging issues in the trucking industry that ATRI flagged in 2022, ranked 11th to 13th, were insurance cost and availability, hours-of-service rules, and driver training standards. By 2026, insurance had climbed to fourth. Hours of service and training dropped off the list, but each led to federal action: sleeper-berth and detention pilots, and a purge of CDL schools.

The top 10 gets the headlines, but the three issues just below it are where the next round of costs tends to come from. Watching them is cheaper than reacting once they reach the top.

I have spent more than 22 years at Simplex, nearly 16 of them as COO, and I read these lists for what they will cost a carrier. This post follows ATRI's 2022 watch list to today, explains what each issue means for a small fleet's budget, and names the three issues ATRI is watching now.

AI briefing

The full briefing, read aloud

7 chapters. Select one to jump to it.

01The list below the list
0:00 / 2:28

Generated with AI text-to-speech from this article's key insights, in order, rather than reading it word for word. Chapter times come from a transcript of the audio. The article itself was written and reviewed by Gabriel Gonzalez.

A tractor-trailer with a roof-mounted sensor pod driving on a desert interstate in early morning light
Autonomous trucks rose five places to 12th in ATRI's 2026 survey, and drivers rank them their fourth-biggest concern.
The Short Version

Key takeaways

Three issues sat just below the 2022 top 10

Insurance cost and availability ranked 11th, hours-of-service rules 12th, and driver training standards 13th in ATRI's 2022 survey.

Insurance broke through

It jumped to fourth in 2024, third in 2025, and fourth in 2026. ATRI found liability premium costs per mile rose 18.6% from 2021 to 2024 while truck crash rates fell.

Hours of service moved into pilot programs

Drivers in 2022 wanted more sleeper-berth flexibility and relief from detention. FMCSA has since proposed pilots to test 6/4 and 5/5 splits and a pause of up to 3 hours in the 14-hour window.

Driver training became an enforcement story

Concern peaked at ninth in 2025. FMCSA has since removed thousands of providers from its Training Provider Registry, and the issue left ATRI's list in 2026.

The 2026 watch list is parking, autonomy, and English

Truck parking ranks 11th, autonomous trucks 12th, and English language proficiency 13th, according to ATRI's 2026 report.

The Watch List

What were the emerging issues in the trucking industry in 2022?

They were insurance cost and availability, hours-of-service rules, and driver training standards, the issues ranked 11th to 13th in ATRI's 2022 Critical Issues report. ATRI tracks them as topics that draw real interest but fall just outside the top 10, and that may become top issues later.

ATRI's 2022 emerging issues and where they rank in 2026. The Industry Concern Index (ICI) scores each issue against the No. 1 concern, set at 100.
2022 emerging issue2022 rank and ICI2026 rank
Insurance cost and availability11th (35.3)4th
Hours-of-service rules12th (33.8)Not in the top 13
Driver training standards13th (32.5)Not in the top 13

The margins were thin. Insurance, ninth in 2021, scored 35.3, just 0.1 below lawsuit abuse reform at 35.4, the 10th issue; our recap of concerns six through 10 covers that one. The full top 10, led by fuel prices, is in our post on the top trucking industry concerns of 2022.

Who worried about what mattered too. Motor carriers ranked insurance seventh among their own concerns. Truck drivers ranked hours of service seventh and driver training standards ninth.

Issue No. 11

Did insurance cost become a top trucking industry challenge?

Yes, and faster than the other two. Insurance stayed outside the top 10 in 2023, then jumped to fourth in 2024, rose to third in 2025, and ranked fourth in 2026.

In 2022, ATRI pointed to its own research showing insurance premium costs per mile rose 47% from 2010 to 2020. Fleets said they offset it by cutting wages and bonuses, buying less excess coverage, and delaying new equipment.

The trend continued. ATRI's May 2026 research found liability premium costs rose 18.6% from 2021 to 2024, to 10.2 cents a mile, while heavy-truck crash rates fell 2.6%. Per-mile premiums for the $10 to $15 million excess layer rose 45%. ATRI's 2026 report adds that fleets with fewer than 100 trucks saw increases of 27% to 50% over those four years.

The same research found two things a carrier controls. Fleets that kept more risk in their primary layer, through deductibles or self-insurance, had lower combined losses and premiums, and six safety technologies were linked to lower liability losses per mile. Your own record matters too; see how CSA scores affect truck insurance premiums.

Highway crew replacing a bent guardrail section on an interstate shoulder as a tractor-trailer passes in the open lane
ATRI found liability premiums per mile rose 18.6% from 2021 to 2024 even as truck crash rates fell, which is why carriers rank insurance fourth.
Issue No. 12

What happened to the hours-of-service concern?

It faded from the overall list but turned into two federal pilot programs aimed at exactly what drivers complained about in 2022: sleeper-berth flexibility and time lost to detention.

The 2022 concern came after FMCSA's 2020 rule changed four provisions: the short-haul exception, the adverse driving conditions exception, the 30-minute break, and the sleeper berth. Today a driver still gets 11 hours of driving within a 14-hour window after 10 hours off, and can split the 10 hours as 7/3 or 8/2 in the sleeper berth. Drivers told ATRI those splits weren't flexible enough and that long waits at shippers ate into the 14 hours.

The two pilot programs

  • Flexible Sleeper Berth. Adds 6/4 and 5/5 splits for about 256 participating drivers, to test whether they are as safe as today's options.
  • Split Duty Period. Lets about 256 drivers pause the 14-hour window once a day for 30 minutes to 3 hours, off duty or in the sleeper berth, or on duty at a pickup or delivery, which covers detention.

FMCSA proposed both in September 2025 and sought 18 drivers for six-week trial runs in 2026. In October 2026 it published information-collection notices for the full studies, with comments open through December 7, 2026. Until a driver is enrolled in a pilot, the current rules apply. To plan a day inside them, see our guide to time management around the hours-of-service clock.

The concern also changed hands. Hours of service last made ATRI's top 10 in 2020. In 2026, drivers still rank it 10th among their own concerns, and law enforcement respondents rank it fifth, behind ELD fraud at No. 1.

Issue No. 13

What became of the driver training standards concern?

It climbed into the top 10, at ninth in 2025, and then FMCSA acted on it. The concern in 2022 was the new entry-level driver training rule, required since February 7, 2022. Training providers list themselves on FMCSA's registry by attesting that they meet the standards, and drivers told ATRI too many new drivers reached the road undertrained, by trainers who were not well trained themselves.

On December 1, 2025, FMCSA announced it had removed nearly 3,000 providers from the Training Provider Registry and put another 4,500 on notice, the first step in reviewing 16,000. On August 31, 2026, it announced the emergency removal of more than 110 more, tied to drivers who failed English proficiency checks. As of October 20, 2026, the registry lists 9,973 removed training locations.

With the issue in FMCSA's hands, it fell off ATRI's 2026 list. For a carrier hiring new CDL holders, the business risk is now the school, not the rule. Our guide to entry-level driver training covers what to check on a new hire's training record.

The Next Watch List

Which trucking issues are emerging in 2026?

ATRI's 2026 report, released October 18, 2026, puts truck parking, autonomous trucks, and English language proficiency for drivers just outside the top 10.

ATRI's 2026 emerging issues, ranked 11th to 13th.
Rank and ICIIssueWhy it is on the list
11th (40.4)Truck parkingOut of the top 10 for the first time since 2012; drivers still rank it second
12th (32.7)Autonomous trucksUp five places; drivers rank it fourth
13th (31.6)English language proficiencyDebuted seventh in 2025; down six places

Not every concern passes through the watch list first. Artificial intelligence in trucking and diesel emissions regulations debuted straight into the 2025 top 10 and held seventh and eighth in 2026.

An honest caveat. ATRI's ranks measure concern among the people who answered, and the mix changes: drivers were 47.2% of 2022 respondents and about 26% in 2026. An issue can fall because fewer drivers answered, not because the problem went away.
The Lesson

How should a small carrier plan for emerging trucking challenges?

Treat 11th to 13th as a two-year warning. Insurance went from 11th to fourth in two years, and every renewal in between was a chance to prepare. Three habits fit this list:

  • Prepare insurance renewals all year. ATRI linked safety technology and carrying more of your own risk to lower costs, and underwriters also read your inspection record. Shop the renewal with a broker who places commercial truck insurance across several markets.
  • Price detention into your loads. Hours spent waiting at a dock come out of the 14-hour window today. Charge for them in writing until the rules change.
  • Verify new drivers' training, not just their CDL. A school can be removed from the registry after your driver graduates, so keep a copy of each new hire's training certification in the file.
How Simplex Helps

How Simplex helps carriers stay ahead of the next concern

Insurance, hours of service, and driver qualification are the three issues from this watch list that reach a carrier's books. We help with all three.

01

Insurance placed by a broker

As a broker, we quote and place commercial truck insurance, from auto liability to cargo and physical damage, and help you prepare for renewal.

02

Hours of service on a registered ELD

Our ELD solutions record hours of service and help your office spot detention and clock problems before they become violations.

03

Driver files that hold up

We build and maintain driver qualification files, so every new hire's license, medical, and training records are where an auditor expects them.

Talk to Our Team
Your Questions, Answered

Frequently asked questions

What are the emerging issues in the trucking industry right now?+
In ATRI's 2026 survey, the issues ranked just outside the top 10 are truck parking (11th), autonomous trucks (12th), and English language proficiency for drivers (13th). ATRI calls these emerging issues because they draw real concern and may become top issues later.
What are the biggest challenges in the trucking industry in 2026?+
ATRI's 2026 top five are fuel prices, lawsuit abuse reform, CSA, insurance cost and availability, and the driver shortage. Insurance is the one that started on the 2022 emerging-issues list.
What are the biggest workforce challenges for trucking companies?+
In ATRI's 2026 list, the driver shortage ranks fifth, driver compensation ninth, and driver retention 10th. Motor carriers ranked the driver shortage third among their own concerns, behind lawsuit abuse reform and fuel prices.
Is FMCSA changing the sleeper berth rule?+
Not yet. The rule still allows 7/3 and 8/2 splits. FMCSA has proposed a pilot program to test 6/4 and 5/5 splits with about 256 drivers, and only enrolled drivers would get that flexibility.
Sources & Author

Where this information comes from

The rankings, survey details, and figures below come from ATRI's reports and research and from FMCSA and the Federal Register, checked on October 20, 2026.

Gabriel Gonzalez, Chief Revenue Officer of Simplex Group

Written by

Gabriel Gonzalez

Chief Revenue Officer, Simplex Group

Chief Revenue Officer at Simplex Group, with more than 22 years at the company, including nearly 16 years as Chief Operating Officer. His background combines revenue strategy with deep operational experience, giving him a strong perspective on how compliance, risk, permits, cash flow, and operational readiness affect a carrier's ability to grow profitably.

Published · Updated

Before it reaches the top

The cheapest time to deal with a concern is while it's still emerging

Insurance sat on ATRI's watch list two years before it became a top-five concern. That was two renewals' worth of time to build a cleaner record, settle on a deductible you can carry, and give a broker a complete file.

If you want help getting your insurance, hours of service, or driver files ready for what comes next, talk to our team.

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